This paper analyses all management buyout and buyin deals from 1989 to 1995 inclusive. According to statistics provided by the British Venture Capital Association (BVCA), in the period 19931995 buyouts accounted for 49% and buyins for 19% of the total investments by venture capital firms in the UK. Table 2 shows the total number of such deals and separates them into those which were backed by venture capital firms and those which were not. As can be seen, there were 1,999 such deals backed by venture capital firms: just over 50% of the total, of which 1,344 were buyouts and 655 buyins. It will be observed that it is much more likely that buyins will be venture capital backed than buyouts.
TABLE 2 Venture Backed Management Buyouts and Buyins 1989 to 1995| Year of buyout | Not venture capital backed | Venture capital backed | Total | ||
| Buyout | Buyin | Buyout | Buyin | ||
| 1989 | 176 | 16 | 226 | 107 | 525 |
| 1990 | 282 | 25 | 220 | 74 | 601 |
| 1991 | 274 | 35 | 181 | 79 | 569 |
| 1992 | 276 | 40 | 184 | 89 | 589 |
| 1993 | 261 | 38 | 135 | 53 | 487 |
| 1994 | 209 | 39 | 199 | 103 | 550 |
| 1995 | 176 | 62 | 199 | 150 | 587 |
| TOTAL | 1,654 | 255 | 1,344 | 655 | 3,908 |
Table 3 shows the number of venture capital backed management buyout and buyin deals which were supported by a single venture capital firm and those that were syndicated across more than one. In total 31% of these deals were syndicated (32% of buyouts and 29% of buyins). As might be expected, a higher proportion of the larger deals are syndicated. For example, 66% of deals valued at œ10 million pounds or more are syndicated compared with 23% of those valued at less than œ10 million. Thus, syndication is an important aspect of the financing of management buyouts and buyins.
TABLE 3 Syndicated Venture Backed Buyouts and Buyins 1989 to 1995| Year of buyout | NonSyndicated | Syndicated | Total | ||
| Buyout | Buyin | Buyout | Buyin | ||
| 1989 | 157 | 86 | 59 | 31 | 333 |
| 1990 | 152 | 55 | 64 | 23 | 294 |
| 1991 | 124 | 66 | 54 | 16 | 260 |
| 1992 | 122 | 59 | 62 | 30 | 273 |
| 1993 | 79 | 33 | 56 | 20 | 188 |
| 1994 | 127 | 80 | 71 | 24 | 302 |
| 1995 | 140 | 98 | 59 | 52 | 349 |
| TOTAL | 901 | 477 | 425 | 196 | 1,999 |
Table 4 reports the results of applying both the weighted analysis of the complete cases and the full dataset with imputed missing values. The first point to notice is that the signs on the coefficients are generally the same whether using the weighted complete case of imputed missing values and, in particular, that conclusion holds for all of the variables which are significant at the 10% or lower level. Since a substantial number of the explanatory variables are 0,1 dummies it would be expected that their coefficients would be different in size between the two models given the much greater number of cases in the latter.
TABLE 4 Logistic Regression Results| Weighted (complete case) | EM (all cases) | |||
| Coefficient | Standard Error | Coefficient | Standard Error | |
| Risk | ||||
| Debt | -0.135 ** | 0.065 | -0.033 *** | 0.017 |
| Gearing | 0.147 * | 0.053 | 0.021 | 0.015 |
| Mezzanine | 0.014 | 0.107 | -0.010 | 0.025 |
| Mgtshare | -0.040 * | 0.0097 | -0.044 * | 0.006 |
| Total equity | 0.055 | 0.051 | 0.042 *** | 0.024 |
| Total mgt | 0.024 | 0.176 | 0.077 | 0.065 |
| Total vendor | -0.206 | 0.126 | -0.038 | 0.045 |
| Value | 0.085 | 0.052 | 0.026 | 0.019 |
| Vendor loan | 0.106 | 0.137 | 0.019 | 0.042 |
| Buyout | -0.035 | 0.381 | -0.013 | 0.192 |
| Divestment | -0.246 | 0.375 | 0.233 | 0.198 |
| Receivership | -0.173 | 0.550 | 0.369 | 0.312 |
| Venture Capital | ||||
| Deals | -0.058 * | 0.017 | -0.047 * | 0.008 |
| Funds managed | 0.0004 | 0.0013 | -0.001 *** | 0.0005 |
| Portfolio size | -0.006 | 0.0068 | -0.006 *** | 0.0037 |
| Captive | -0.764 | 0.725 | -0.079 | 0.350 |
| Semicaptive | 0.767 | 0.502 | 0.815 * | 0.281 |
| VC1 | 3.769 * | 0.857 | 3.738 * | 0.496 |
| VC2 | 4.747 * | 1.234 | 4.599 * | 0.614 |
| VC3 | 5.093 * | 1.396 | 4.125 * | 0.647 |
| VC4 | 4.440 * | 1.306 | 3.421 * | 0.683 |
| VC5 | 5.305 * | 1.451 | 3.907 * | 0.622 |
| VC6 | 6.774 * | 1.314 | 4.686 * | 0.662 |
| VC7 | 5.533 * | 1.263 | 3.826 * | 0.641 |
| VC8 | 14.059 * | 2.889 | 12.315 * | 1.359 |
| VC9 | 2.181 | 1.993 | 2.553 ** | 1.161 |
| VC10 | 2.880 ** | 1.293 | 3.421* | 0.654 |
| VC11 | 77.174 * | 21.641 | 68.116 * | 10.589 |
| Industry | ||||
| Food | 2.392 * | 0.829 | 0.831 *** | 0.444 |
| Hotel | -1.084 | 1.377 | -2.323 * | 0.755 |
| Transport | -1.722 | 1.077 | -1.181 ** | 0.547 |
| Region | ||||
| North | -2.981 ** | 1.163 | -1.110 *** | 0.578 |
| Scotland | 1.302 *** | 0.773 | 0.814 ** | 0.338 |
| South West | -1.591 *** | 0.834 | -1.012 ** | 0.419 |
| West Midlands | -1.261 ** | 0.606 | -0.780 ** | 0.316 |
| Year | ||||
| 1990 | -0.146 | 0.776 | -0.216 | 0.329 |
| 1991 | 0.096 | 0.746 | -0.243 | 0.342 |
| 1992 | 0.520 | 0.776 | 0.437 | 0.343 |
| 1993 | 0.259 | 0.781 | 0.584 *** | 0.336 |
| 1994 | -0.271 | 0.728 | 0.211 | 0.328 |
| 1995 | -0.335 | 0.726 | -0.113 | 0.296 |
| Constant | 0.469 | 0.980 | 1.151 | 0.502 |
** significant at the 5% level
*** significant at the 10% level
Table 5 gives the classification table for both models, where the percentages for the EM model are based on the average across the 11 separate estimations. The models correctly classify 86.2% and 89.0% of the cases respectively. The classification of the nonsyndicated deals is over 96% correct in both cases and 75.9% and 72.2% of the syndicated deals are correctly classified. The Likelihood ratio test shows both equations to be highly significant. TABLE 5 Percentage of Cases Correctly Classified| Complete cases: weighted estimates | EM: full sample | |
| Nonsyndicated | 98.6 | 96.5 |
| Syndicated | 75.9 | 72.2 |
| Overall | 86.2 | 89.0 |
| Total cases | 645 | 1,999 |
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